MLB DFS

4.24 MLB DFS Show Notes

I share an more organized version of my MLB DFS Podcast notes with listeners as a companion to the episode. Complete with stats, stacks and takes .

Game Notes @ Minute 5:25

  • Negative Weather in BAL, likely PPD or canceled, 50% + chance of rain from 7PM to 11PM
  • 12 Game run total at WAS v COL, highest on the slate
  • CIN/MIL, MIN/TEX, SDP/ARI all 8.5 runs or more
  • KC/CWS lowest total, 7 runs
  • Wind out in SF and LA

Pitcher Breakdown @ Minute 16:35

Jason Vargas, 8.5K @CWS

  • Numbers in 2017, in 3 starts:
    • K/9, 10.1
    • 31% K rate,
    • BB under 3%,
    • WHIP below 1
    • Only 26% HC, as low as 8% to lefties
    • FB% under 30%

Amir Garrett, 7.7 @MIL

  • Numbers in 2017
    • K/9 9.6,
    • 28% K/Rate
    • 4% walk rate,
    • WHIP below one
    • Milwaukee has K rate of 30% to LHP in 2017

Coors Field Breakdown @ Minute 23:30

  • 12 RUN  total
  • Jacob Turner is SP for WSH, hasn’t started since 2016
    • K Rate below 18%
    • ERA above 7
    • Allowing 40% HC rate
    • Greater than 1.5 HR/9
    • Worth noting, RHB have hit him hard as LHB
  • Tyler Anderson is SP for COL
    • 19% K Rate
    • 8 % walk rate
    • 35% HC rate
  • Cheapest Exposure
    • COL: Cargo, Reynolds, Parra
    • WSH: Zimmerman, Rendon, Werth

Batter Breakdown @ Min 29:00

  • Texas Rangers
  • OPP: Phil Hughes, MIN- 42% HC Rate, 44% FB rate
  • Stack possibilities: Choo, Gomez, Odor, Mazara, Gallo, Chirinos
    • Mazara: 397 WOBA, 194 ISO
    • Odor: 342 WOBA, 247 ISO
    • Gallo: 300 WOBA, 242 ISO
    • Chirinos: 356 WOBA, 298 ISO
  • Diamondbacks
  • OPP: Jhoulys Chacin,SDP, 333 WOBA Allowed, 33% HC 35 % FB Rate
  • Stack possibilities: Pollock, Lamb, Peralta, Hazelbaker
    • Lamb: 394 WOBA, 287 ISO
    • Pollock: 350 WOBA, 119 ISO
    • Peralta: 335 WOBA, 174 ISO
  • Dodgers
  • OPP: Matt Cain, SFG- 390 WOBA Allowed
  • Wind OUT at 17 MPH in SF
  • Stack possibilities: Toles, Seager, Turner, Gonzo, Grandal
    • Seager: 413 WOBA, 228 ISO
    • Turner 396 WOBA, 262 ISO
    • Toles: 377 WOBA, 184 ISO
    • Gonzalez: 368 WOBA, 177 ISO
    • Grandal: 363 WOBA, 258

Lone Wolf/One off’s @ Minute 36:30

  • Robbie Grossman
  • Brian Dozier
  • Joey Votto
  • Ryan Braun

Lineup Construction @ Minute 39:00

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