MLB DFS: Thursday, 1 Minute Clinic

Let’s take a quick look at the  slate tonight. For more in depth breakdown, listen to the Lineup Logic Podcast today at 11AM


Heaviest Favorite 

James Paxton v LAA -207 – Paxton has been nothing short of spectacular in the last month, he will continue his second half campaign against an Angels team with a low k rate but a HC rate that can be equally low at times. The Angels are implied for 3.1 runs, the lowest on the slate.

Others arms with positive indicators: deGrom v Philly, Salazaar v Tampa Bay are both seeing run totals below 4 and are heavy favorite with high K opponents.

Highest Game Total

4 games sit at 9.5 runs, we will see if they stay that way.

  • MIA v WAS, Straily v Roark:
    • In play? Two hit or miss pitchers take on two hit or miss offenses in the last game of a 4 game series.Mini stacks mostly, Zimmerman’s massive game last night was the first time all week that the Nats have put up double digit runs.
  • HOU v CHW, Peacock v Rodon:
    • In play? Peacock has had hard contact issues of late but massive K upside, Rodon has been showing signs of improvement. The ‘Stros can’t get blanked again, Vegas has them as the highest total of the night.
  • LAD v ARI, Darvish v Banda:
    • In play? Darvish makes his second start for LAD and deserves a look in tourneys, as people will feel fine fading him with other solid options. The Dodgers stack in play with one of the higher IRT on the board against Banda.
  • BAL v OAK, Miley v Smith
    • In play? The O’s will go overlooked in this spot and Smith has struggled in his 5 July starts, a solid pivot stack at their high price tags with depressed owenership. Miley is not rosterable, but I don’t think the A’s are in play with his massive GB rate of late

Highest Implied Team Total

Astros v Rodon – 5.6 Runs- No surprise here, even after getting blanked by Miguel Gonzalez, the StackStros are getting the highest implied run total of the night vs Carlos Rodon. However, the lefty is coming off a solid outing in Boston and has shown strikeout ability in recent games. With the Dodgers seeing a similar number ownership should be split.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s