Hey LineupLogic listeners! I would like to welcome you to “The Chalkboard”. In these articles, I will give my take on which chalky players you should avoid and players that will go under-owned. Choosing some of these lower owned players in GPPs will give you an edge on the competition and possibly help you take home some serious cash.
Quick guide to each subcategory
Why? – why will player be owned at the projected percentage.
Grade – Grade is 0-100 scale of how much I like each player as a point per dollar option.
After some thought, I decided that it doesn’t help you to give my opinion on which high-owned players I like. Obviously, Aaron Rodgers will be owned at a high percentage every week and I obviously like him most weeks. I am going to stop being safe about my predictions and try to give a more contrarian approach to the higher-owned options you should fade.
The Chalkboard – Tight Ends
Chalky players you should fade
Rob Gronkowski ($8,500) NE vs CAR – 15%
Why? – Cause Gronk.
Grade – 80/100 – I’m not saying he won’t have a good game, but I think there are better options to get you more points per dollar. I can’t justify spending more than I would on Julio Jones for a TE. I just won’t do it. Hard fade again this week.
Zach Ertz ($6,900) PHI @ LAC – 15%
Why? – Ertz hasn’t had a game below 10 fantasy points in the first 3 weeks. He’s always going to be chalky.
Grade – 70/100 – Travis Kelce got SHUT DOWN by the Chargers last week and I don’t trust Ertz to do a whole lot better. I can see him putting up more points than Kelce did, but I don’t expect another 10 point outing this week.
Low owned pivots
Delanie Walker ($6,500) TEN @ HOU – 8%
Why? – Jimmy Graham is cheaper and Ertz is slightly more expensive. I expect people to overlook Walker this week.
Grade – 90/100 – I love Mariota this week and I love Walker as well. He underperformed last week, but I see a strong bounce back this week against a struggling Houston defense. Love in all formats.
Charles Clay ($5,300) BUF @ ATL – 7.5%
Why? – Clay will longer go under the radar after scoring 2 TDs in 3 weeks. I think a lot of people will look at some of the other options at TE this week because there are so many good matchup.
Grade – 85/100 – Very cheap making him a solid option, but worried about TD upside because I don’t know who will score this week against Atlanta.
Jared Cook ($5,500) OAK @ DEN – 2%
Why? – I think people will avoid the whole Oakland offense this week making Cook a perfect GPP candidate.
Grade – 90/100 – I’m going to go out on a limb and say Cook is a lock for a TD again this week. The Broncos have allowed 193 yards and 2 TDs good for 7th most fantasy points to TEs this year. This is one of the weaknesses in their defense and expect Carr to exploit that. I don’t see Carr as a viable option, but if he throws for a TD, it will be to Cook.
That’s it for my week 3 Tight End breakdown. Be sure to check out my QB, RB and WR chalkboard articles as well. Follow me on twitter @joejberg where I am open to answering any fantasy related questions you may have. Thanks for reading and let’s go out and make some money!