Hey LineupLogic listeners! I would like to welcome you to “The Chalkboard”. In these articles, I will give my take on which chalky players you should avoid and players that will go under-owned. Choosing some of these lower owned players in GPPs will give you an edge on the competition and possibly help you take home some serious cash.
Quick guide to each subcategory
Why? – Why will player be owned at the projected percentage.
Grade – Grade is 0-100 scale of how much I like each player as a point per dollar option.
After some thought, I decided that it doesn’t help you to give my opinion on which high-owned players I like. Obviously, Aaron Rodgers will be owned at a high percentage every week and I obviously like him most weeks. I am going to stop being safe about my predictions and try to give a more contrarian approach to the higher-owned options you should fade.
The Chalkboard – Wide Receivers
Chalky players you should fade
Mike Evans ($7,900) TB vs NYG – 11%
Why? – The Giants are perceived as a bad defense and Evans is an elite WR.
Grade – 80/100 – Last week Xavier Rhodes did a solid job of limiting Evans. This week he doesn’t get a much easier matchup against Janoris Jenkins. I don’t see him getting into the end zone this week once again.
Alshon Jeffery ($7,100) PHI @ LAC – 9%
Why? – People have been picking on the Chargers since Verrett went down. I think people will continue to do the same with Jeffery this week.
Grade – 70/100 – Despite Verrett going down, the Chargers still have good a good cornerback in Casey Hayward. Last year after Verrett went down, Hayward only allowed 1 TD while being targeted 93 times. Hayward is a good CB and I don’t like Jeffery at all this week.
Low owned pivots
Julio Jones ($8,400) ATL vs BUF – 10%
Why? – The Bills have a good defense and that will scare people off of Julio this week.
Grade – 90/100 – This isn’t a “low-owned” pivot, but it’s very low ownership for Julio. He has gone without a TD for 3 weeks now and I don’t see this continuing much longer. He is in a perfect spot for a high priced, low-owned GPP play.
Tyrell Williams ($6,200) LAC vs PHI – 5%
Why? – Keenan Allen will be the only Chargers receiver owned above 10% on a week to week basis.
Grade – 90/100 – Williams is averaging 6 targets per game and hasn’t made much of them so far. He is known for making big plays and has yet to do so this year. I think he has a good chance of putting up a big play and getting a TD this week against an awful Eagles pass defense who will be focusing on shutting down Keenan Allen.
Devin Funchess ($5,400) CAR @ NE – 2.5%
Why? – He was a bust last week and people tend to fade players who have burned them.
Grade – 92/100 – Funchess had 10 targets last week, but didn’t make anything of them because of the poor play by Cam Newton. Newton can’t be terrible forever (fingers crossed) and I can Newton and Funchess connecting against the league’s worst pass defense.
Will Fuller ($4,500) HOU vs TEN – 2.5%
Why? – Everybody is talking about DeAndre Hopkins and forgetting about Will Fuller’s return.
Grade – 95/100 – Fuller is my favorite point per dollar option this week against a bad Titans pass defense. Deshaun Watson played very well last week and the Titans will need to focus on shutting down Hopkins in the passing game. This will give Fuller a great opportunity in single coverage to get open deep and score a ton of fantasy points at low ownership.
That’s it for my week 3 Wide Receiver breakdown. Be sure to check out my QB, RB and TE “chalkboard” articles as well. Follow me on twitter @joejberg where I am open to answering any fantasy related questions you may have. Thanks for reading and let’s go out and make some money!