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The Chalkboard Week 5 – Quarterbacks

Hey LineupLogic listeners! I would like to welcome you to “The Chalkboard”. In these articles, I will give my take on which chalky players you should avoid and players that will go under-owned. Choosing some of these lower owned players in GPPs will give you an edge on the competition and possibly help you take home some serious cash.

Quick guide to each subcategory
Why? – why will the player be owned at the projected percentage.
Grade – Grade is 0-100 scale of how much I like each player as a point per dollar option.

 

The Chalkboard – Quarterbacks

 

Chalky players you should fade

 

Deshaun Watson ($7,500) HOU vs KC – 10%

Why? – Solid performances over the past 2 weeks will make Watson chalky this week.

Grade – 80/100 – Watson is still fairly cheap and I don’t see him getting shut down this week. However, I don’t think he will have another performance like last week’s. He has played against 2 of the worst defenses in the league against the pass (Titans and Pats) and while the Chiefs aren’t “elite” against the pass, they should be able to keep the rookie in check. If he has another good game this week, I will say Watson is the real deal. Until then, I am going to fade him.

Cam Newton ($7,800) CAR @ DET – 7% 

Why? – Cam looked like his old self and put up 35 fantasy points last week. Some people are going to jump back on him this week.

Grade – 80/100 – Similar to Watson, I don’t think Newton gets shut down against the Lions. They are solid against the pass, but he will probably have a passing touchdown to Christian McCaffrey. He has rushing upside, but that’s not enough against a defense that held up well against Carson Palmer, Eli Manning and Matt Ryan.

 

Low-owned pivots

 

Jacoby Brissett ($7,000) IND vs SF – 2.5%

Why? – He isn’t consistent enough to feel comfortable with.

Grade – 90/100 – I really like this matchup. San Francisco is good against the run (3.3 YPC average) and the Colts are favored. That means that Vegas likes Brissett to put up good numbers against a sub-par 49ers pass defense. He also has really good rushing TD upside which could make Brissett one of the best point per dollar options on this slate.

Ben Roethlisberger ($7,900) PIT vs JAC – 2.5%

Why? – He is facing the “number 1” defense against the pass and will be a hard fade for most people.

Grade – 85/100 – I’m not most people. I will be playing Big Ben in a few GPP lineups this week because I don’t believe Jacksonville is the #1 pass defense in the league. The Jags have faced Tom Savage/Deshaun Watston, Marcus Mariota, Joe Flacco and Josh McCown. The only good QB in that bunch is Mariota and the Titans blew out the Jaguars so he only threw 27 passes. I don’t think this game will be a complete blowout and Roethlisberger should have around 35-40 attempts. Also, Ben’s one game at home this year was against a good pass defense in the Vikings and he had 17.5 FDP along with a 105 passer rating. He’s not a MUST play this week, but keep an open mind and pick him if you want a low owned QB with high upside.

That’s it for my week 5 Quarterback breakdown. Be sure to check out my RB, WR and TE “chalkboard” articles as well. Follow me on twitter @joejberg where I am open to answering any fantasy related questions you may have. Thanks for reading and let’s go out and make some money!

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