Hey LineupLogic listeners! I would like to welcome you to “The Chalkboard”. In these articles, I will give my take on which chalky players you should avoid and players that will go under-owned. Choosing some of these lower owned players in GPPs will give you an edge on the competition and possibly help you take home some serious cash.
Quick guide to each subcategory
Why? – Why will the player be owned a the projected percentage.
Grade – Grade is 0-100 scale of how much I like each player as a point per dollar option.
The Chalkboard – Wide Receivers
Chalky players you should fade
DeVante Parker ($6,100) MIA vs TEN – 18%
Why? – EVERYBODY is talking about Parker this week. He will be one of the chalkier options especially at this price.
Grade – 90/100 – No, you shouldn’t fade Parker this week. That said, you MUST limit your exposure. Jarvis Landry gets 10 receptions for 65 yards and a TD, DeVante Parker gets 6 receptions for 100 yards and Kenny Stills gets 4 receptions for 50 yards and a TD. That sounds like a realistic scenario doesn’t it? Well, that would make Parker the worst receiving option on the Dolphins this week. I DO NOT THINK THAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN but if a similar scenario does happen and you limited your exposure, you will automatically have an advantage on the competition. Yes, you need to have DeVante Parker in your life this week, but make him your side chick and with an option with a similar outcome who is safer. Example, Dez Bryant.
Odell Beckham Jr. ($8,900) NYG vs LAC – 13%
Why? – Elite option on any given week.
Grade – 80/100 – Will Beckham put up good numbers? Probably. Will Beckham be one of the top 10 point per dollar options this week? I doubt it. We need to maximize ceiling in a GPP and I just don’t see that ceiling with Beckham going up against Casey Hayward who shut down Alshon Jeffery last weekend.
Low owned pivots
A.J. Green ($8,300) CIN vs BUF – 6%
Why? – With receivers like Jordy Nelson and Dez Bryant in the same price point in great matchups, people will scroll past Green without thinking twice.
Grade – 95/100 – The Bills have struggled against the WR1 this year. They have faced Jermaine Kearse, Kelvin Benjamin, Demarius Thomas and Julio Jones. Julio Jones was hurt in the second quarter, so I will exclude him from these statistics. Listen to this. Each one of these wideouts has had their most targets and receptions against this “elite” Bills pass defense. The Bills have given up 234 yards on 19 receptions in 26 targets to these guys with the lowest targeted player being Kelvin Benjamin with 8 targets. If these guys were targeted 8 times each and had a 73% catch rate, what kind of numbers can Green put up?
Brandon Marshall ($5,800) NYG vs LAC – 3.5%
Why? – He has yet to score a TD and is not on anybody’s radar.
Grade – 95/100 – Marshall has averaged 10.5 targets over the past two games. Clearly, Odell being back has brought this offense back to life. I don’t see any reason why Marshall won’t see the same number of targets against the Chargers who will need to focus on shutting down Beckham in order to have a shot in this game. Marshall will go under-owned until he scores a TD and I strongly believe that will happen this week.
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,400) PIT vs JAC – 1%
Why? – All offensive players not named Le’Veon Bell will be faded by 95% of people.
Grade – 85/100 – Schuster has scored a TD in 2 of the last 3 games. Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye will be covering Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant so I expect JuJu to get a good amount of looks.
Other options: Jarvis Landry…that is all
That’s it for my week 5 Wide Receiver breakdown. Be sure to check out my QB, RB and TE “chalkboard” articles as well. Follow me on twitter @JoeJBerg where I am open to answering any fantasy related questions you may have. Thanks for reading and let’s go out and make some money!