Hey LineupLogic listeners! I would like to welcome you to “The Chalkboard”. In these articles, I will give my take on some possible under-owned pivots to chalky players and why they could be a better option. Choosing some of these lower owned players in GPPs will give you an edge on the competition and possibly help you take home some serious cash.
The Chalkboard – Tight End
Rob Gronkowski ($8,500) vs Atlanta
Pros – The best tight end in the league who is matchup proof. Roll him out with confidence.
Cons – The only con is if Brady doesn’t target him because he’s passive-aggressively telling Gronk that he doesn’t like the way Rob looks at Gisele.
Projection – 20 FDP (2.3x value) – I content rolling out chalky Gronk as long as I have enough salary to afford him.
Cameron Brate ($6,200) @ Buffalo
Pros – Has scored in 4 straight games and is Winston’s most reliable target.
Cons – I don’t know how much longer he can keep scoring touchdowns each week. He has to regress at some point and I think there are better options on the board with less ownership.
Projection – 7 FDP (1.1x value) – Do as you wish with Brate, but I know that he is going to regress at some point. The Bills defense is a solid unit and I don’t think any Bucs player is a safe bet.
Jimmy Graham ($5,800) @ NYG
Pros – Giants have allowed 7 touchdowns to tight ends on the year. They have proven that you always have to stream tight ends against them. Especially a talented athlete such as Jimmy Graham.
Cons – Graham doesn’t always receive the target volume of an elite tight end. Some weeks he will get 11, the next he will get 2 and the following week he’ll get targeted 5 times. His target volume jumps all over the place and that’s my only concern.
Projection – 15.5 FDP (2.7x value) – Probably the best value on the board. A safe matchup and decent target volume means he should be in for a great game.
Julius Thomas ($4,600) vs NY Jets
Pros – The Jets are allowing the 11th most fantasy points to tight ends on the year including 4 touchdowns to the position. High upside punt option.
Cons – Jay Cutler ruins all of my hopes and dreams. You can never lock in a receiver who has an inconsistent QB throwing them the ball.
Projection – 10 FDP (2.2x value) – I don’t see a Julius with a high yardage total this week, but he definitely has touchdown upside against a below average Jets defense. Jay Cutler should give him one or two looks in the red zone which he would have a good chance to turn into six points.
That’s it for my week 7 Tight End breakdown. Be sure to check out my QB, RB and WR “chalkboard” articles as well. Follow me on twitter @JoeJBerg where I am open to answering any fantasy related questions you may have. Thanks for reading and let’s go out and make some money!