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The Chalkboard Week 8 – Wide Receiver

Hey LineupLogic listeners! I would like to welcome you to “The Chalkboard”. In these articles, I will try to determine which players you should use in Fanduel tournaments. I will do this by analyzing match-ups of some chalky, mid-owned and low-owned players. I will also be mentioning which players you should consider fading and why. Fading a chalky player and instead selecting a lower owned player who performs well will give you an automatic edge against other competitors in that tournament. Hopefully, some of my information can help you take down a tournament and walk away with some serious cash.

Guide to each sub-category
Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total: Current implied game and team totals according to FantasyLabs.com
Fun Fact: Interesting fact about player, defense or match-up history.
Def Rank vs Position: Defensive rank of passing yds/gm allowed and receiving touchdowns allowed.
Grade: Grade will be on a scale from 0-30. Grade is based on point per dollar value. For example, 13/30 would be 1.3x value, 20/30 would be 2x value, 27/30 would be 2.7x value and so on.

I know that I keep switching formats of my articles, but I think I finally found a style that I like. This will be the format of my articles for the rest of the season. That said, let’s get into the breakdown!

The Chalkboard – Wide Receiver

CHALK (owned at 15% or higher)

Julio Jones ($8,700) @ New York Jets

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total -44.5/Falcons – 25.25

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 231 (20th)  Touchdowns: 15 (tied for last)

Grade – 23/30 (2.3x value/20 FDP) – I like Julio as a top tier option this week. The Falcons need to win this game and they know that they need to utilize Julio’s skill set to do that. I see him getting massive targets and also finding the end zone again this week.

A.J. Green ($8,500) vs Indianapolis

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total – 42/Bengals – 26.5

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 301 (31st)  Touchdowns: 10 (tied for 15th)

Grade – 24/30 (2.4x value/20.5) – I think Green and Julio will finish around the same point total this week. Both are in good matchup and both have a plus CB/WR matchup according to Pro Football Focus. He will be very chalky, but he should be worth it.

Medium Ownership (Owned between 5% and 15%)

Pierre Garcon ($6,700) vs Philly

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total – 45/49ers – 16.25

Fun Fact – Garcon has had 25 receptions for 271 yards and 3 touchdowns in his last 4 games against the Eagles

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 273 (29th)  Touchdowns: 12 (tied for 24th)

Grade – 27/30 (2.7x value/18 FDP) – The 49ers will be behind and needing to air it out a bunch. Beatyard will be going to Garcon to make big plays.

Doug Baldwin ($7,700) vs Houston

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total – 45.5/Seahawks 26.25

Fun Fact – Baldwin has received 8 or more targets in 4 of the last 5 games.

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 203 (10th)  Touchdowns: 10 (tied for 15th)

Grade – 28/30 (2.8x value/21.5 FDP) – Baldwin is probably my favorite play on the slate. Between the matchup against Kareem Jackson and the implied total rising by two points, Baldwin is in an incredible spot.

Pivots/Sleepers (Owned below 5%)

JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,500) @ Detroit

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total – 45.5/Steelers – 24

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 244 (22nd)  Touchdowns: 9 (tied for 8th)

Grade – 22/30 (2.2x value/12.1 FDP) – Martavis Bryant got sent down to the practice squad which means JuJu will be moving into the number 2 spot. Roethlisberger has looked his way in big time situations and I think he will do that again this week in a close game against the Lions.

Paul Richardson ($4,700) vs Houston

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total – 45.5/Seahawks 26.25

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 203 (10th)  Touchdowns: 10 (tied for 15th)

Grade – 23/30 (2.3x value/10.8 FDP)

 

Consider Fading

Dez Bryant ($8,200) @ Washington

Implied Game Total/Implied Team Total – Total: 47.5/Cowboys – 24.75

Def Rank vs Position – Yards per game: 231 (19th)  Touchdowns: 10 (tied for 15th)

Why consider fading? – Bryant should be covered by Josh Norman this week and he is a straight up fade for me in this spot.

Grade – 14/30 (1.4x value/11.5 FDP)

 

That’s it for my week 8 Wide Receiver breakdown. Be sure to check out my QB, RB and TE articles as well. Follow me on twitter @JoeJBerg where I am open to answering any fantasy related questions you may have. Thanks for reading and let’s go out and make some money!

QB – The Chalkboard Week 8 – Quarterback

RB – The Chalkboard Week 8 – Running Back

 

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