DFS Cheat Sheets

MMA Worksheet, UFC Fight Night 124

Main Event

Jeremy Stephens $7,700 vs Dooho Choi $8,500. One of the first questions you need to consider in a cash lineup is whether or not to stack the main event. Five scheduled rounds will allow for in-fight stats to pile up. You want an active fight that won’t be one-sided. That should be the case here. There should be action, a good amount of striking, and some wrestling. Both fighters have proven chins as well. If you’re playing a GPP I give the edge in the fight to Choi, but only slightly. He’s a bit more athletic, and I like him to get the better of exchanges with Stephens.

Fighters I’m On

Kamaru Usman $9,400. He’s nicknamed the Nigerian Nightmare for good reason. It’s a nightmare to keep him off of you. A HUGE favorite at -600 he typically exceeds 100 FPs. The price hurts, but it’ll be a challenge to cash without him.

Kyung Ho Kang $9,200. Both fighters in this bout are coming off of multi-year layoffs. Ho Kang’s mandatory service in the Korean military is a bit more sympathetic than Guido Cannetti failing a drug test, I’d say. The Korean is a bigger and better fighter, as well as a steep favorite at -320.

Zak Cummings $8,800. If you want to know how long his opponent, Thiago Alves, has been in the fight game he fought on the Fight Night 2 card. The UFC has used his name recognition as currency to boost other fighters for some time now. Not that he’s dog food as a fighter, it’s just passed him by. Cummings looks like the guy you don’t want to fight in a bar. He’s got a chin and heavy hands. I see him finishing this one before the final bell.

Uriah Hall $9,100. I’m a fan of Hall’s talent, if not his results. Normally I’d shy away at this price, but Vitor Belfort hasn’t been a threat since Testosterone Therapy (a PED) was banned in Brazil (it was already banned stateside). He’s also 40 years old and entering his 41st pro fight. That doesn’t stack up well against the dynamic striking of Hall.

Fighters I’m Off

Danielle Taylor $7,900. Taylor comes in with the better record but both DK and Vegas think her opponent is the favorite. Plus she’s giving up a 7-inch reach.

Michael Johnson $8,600. There’s too much concern for me that he won’t be able to handle Darren Elkins wrestling. Johnson is a crisp striker and has takedown defense, but Elkins is a grinding wrestler who can take punishment.

James Krause $8,400. He’s been competing at 170 lbs for a little while now. This fight is at 155 lbs, so it’s going to be a more difficult cut for him. Watch to see if the towel comes out at weigh-ins. His opponent, Alex White, also wants to push the pace. It’s not going to be an easy fight for Krause.

Wildcards

Irene Aldana $9,000. Aldana is the better fighter in this one and a decent favorite at -225. Her UFC results have left something to be desired, though. The test here is whether she can stuff the much shorter Bernardo’s takedowns.

Mads Burnell $7,500. Burnell is a bit of an unknown commodity with 9 total fights and a loss in his only one in the UFC. It’s worth noting that loss came as a late replacement to an overweight fighter. Mike Santiago, his opponent on this card, is susceptible to submissions. Mads has won 5 of 8 fights via submission.

Jessica Eye $8,100. She’ll be overlooked due to a 1-4 stretch recently but moving down to her proper weight division negates that somewhat. She fought some of the best women in the UFC at a weight she couldn’t match strength at. Faria is a dangerous striker, though. That makes Eye only a tournament play for me.

Matt Frevola $8,900. The UFC newcomer is making his debut as a favorite (-225) after impressing on the Tuesday Night Contender Series. Color me intrigued.

Bonus Stack Fight

Paige VanZant $8,000 vs Jessica-Rose Clark $8,200. This fight is stackable in cash lineups in my opinion. The UFC has been all in on VanZant as a face since the women’s divisions were created. She’s stepping up a weight class here to take on the Australian newcomer Clark (she showed well in her first UFC fight). The winner here is going to have title implications. Both ladies are gamers and I think there’s enough action for the stack. VanZant loves to push the pace and Clark has shown solid striking.

Follow Mike Alexander on Twitter @Roto_Wan.

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