NBA DFS

Saturday NBA DFS: Injuries and Implications (2/24)

NBA: Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns


Alex Len could see a nice bump in production if Tyson Chandler misses another game. (photo via Hoops Habit)

Tomorrow’s NBA main slate on FanDuel features six games and does not include the 10:30 game between Dallas and Los Angeles. This is due to FanDuel’s WFBBC being held tomorrow night.

In this look-ahead for tomorrow night’s slate, we will cover key injuries, rotation news, and the impact these situations will have on each game. In addition to this, we will provide Vegas totals and point spreads when they’re available. Be sure to look out for any injury news that comes out between now and tomorrow night’s slate.

Listen to Lineup Logic’s NBA DFS Podcast >>

Memphis @ Miami (MIA -7, 195.0 total)

Both teams are playing in the second half of a back-to-back set so keep an eye out for news regarding rest tomorrow.

Memphis (94.0 total):

Mario Chalmers returned to action on Friday night, but he will likely be stuck in a limited role off the bench with Andrew Harrison playing well recently (28.3 FD points per game over the last three). Wayne Selden also sat out on Friday night, along with Chandler Parsons who was dealing with an illness. Despite this, these two guys being out doesn’t really open much up in terms of usage or fantasy production.

Miami (101.0 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Boston @ New York (BOS -4, 208 total)

Boston (106.0 total):

Marcus Smart was back in the lineup on Friday night after missing nearly a month of action. As mentioned on Thursday, Smart will cut into Terry Rozier’s playing time and Jayson Tatum sees a 1.8% dip in usage rate when he’s on the court alongside Smart.

New York (102.0 total):

There are no impactful injuries to report but the Knicks’ youth movement is in full effect. In Thursday night’s game, Emmanuel Mudiay (21 FD points) started and played 23 minutes, while Frank Ntilikina (21.6 FD points) and Trey Burke (44.8 FD points) played just under 30 minutes a piece. Courtney Lee, Enes Kanter, and Michael Beasley all saw a cut in minutes, so this will be a situation to monitor over the next few weeks. For now, it looks like playing point guard roulette will be a viable GPP strategy.

Oklahoma City @ Golden State (GSW -9.5, 234.5 total)

Oklahoma City (112.5 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Golden State (122.0 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Chicago @ Minnesota (MIN -8.5, 219.0 total)

Chicago (105.5 total):

Speaking of youth movements, the Bulls rotation was completely different on Thursday night. Robin Lopez and Justin Holiday were both DNPs and this led to a huge boost for David Nwaba and Bobby Portis off the bench, which was a great call by the Lineup Logic team. Additionally, Cristiano Felicio entered the starting lineup, but he quickly got into foul trouble against Joel Embiid. If Holiday is back in the lineup on Saturday night, Nwaba would still be a solid option but his upside would be limited. In terms of usage and FD points per minute, here is what it looks like if we take Lopez and Holiday off of the floor:

Bulls IQ

Minnesota (114.0 total):

SATURDAY MORNING UPDATE: Jimmy Butler suffered a non-contact knee injury in the third quarter of Friday night’s game. While the Timberwolves are optimistic that he didn’t tear his ACL, his injury is going to lead to a ton of opportunity for Bjelica over the next few weeks – especially tonight when his minimum price isn’t accounting for his change in role. Bjelica made four starts for Butler in mid-January and he responded with 26.8 FD points across 33.4 minutes per game, so there is a proven body of work for him when Butler misses time.  Bjelica also gets a solid matchup, with the Bulls ranking 22nd in FD points allowed to small forwards.

Portland @ Phoenix (POR -6, 220.0 total)

Portland (113.0 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Pheonix (107.0 total):

Tyler Ulis was available to play with a back injury on Friday night, but Elfriid Payton is successfully running the show as the Suns starter. The biggest situation to monitor here is the status of Tyson Chandler, who sat out on Friday night due to neck spasms. If he is unable to play, Alex Len will become one of the stronger value plays on the board at $4,500. In 763.7 minutes without Tyson Chandler on the floor this season, Len has averaged 1.08 FD points per minute which actually ranks ahead of Devin Booker.

Suns IQ

Dallas @ Utah (UTA -8, 206.0 total)

Dallas (99.0 total):

With the Mavericks playing in the second half of a back-to-back set, it is likely that Dirk Nowitzki rests for this game. Even if this happens, Dwight Powell is still a potential fade candidate at a price of $6,300 heading into Utah. If you’re a risk taker, a case could be made for Maxi Kleber as a deep, deep tournament flier at $3,500. In the Mavericks last back-to-back set, Kleber played 20 minutes against the Rockets (14.6 FD points). His production is hit or miss, but he has shown some nice upside a few times this season.

Utah (107.0 total):

Ricky Rubio returned to the Jazz lineup on Friday night so for now, players like Joe Ingles and Royce O’Neale are a lot less viable in DFS.

Listen to Lineup Logic’s NBA DFS Podcast >>

 

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