NBA DFS

Friday NBA DFS: Injuries and Implications (3/2)

booker

Devin Booker will have to shoulder the load against the Thunder, especially if T.J. Warren misses another game. (photo via S.B Nation)

Tomorrow’s NBA main slate on FanDuel features ten games. In this lookahead for tomorrow’s NBA DFS slate, we will cover the key injuries, rotation news, and the impact these situations will have on each game. In addition to this, we will provide Vegas totals and point spreads when they’re available. Be sure to check out for any injury news that comes out between now and tomorrow night’s slate.

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Detroit @ Orlando (DET -2.5, 212.5 total)

Detroit Pistons (107.5 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Orlando (105.0 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Charlotte @ Philadelphia (PHI -3.0, 216.0 total)

Charlotte (106.5):

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is currently questionable for Friday night’s game with a hamstring injury. In his absence on Wednesday, Treveon Graham stepped into the starting lineup but was a complete non-factor in 30 minutes of action. If Kidd-Gilchrist sits again, the biggest beneficiary will be Jeremy Lamb, who has a 21.3% usage rate and averages 0.86 FD points per minute with MKG out of the lineup. Lamb is coming off a quiet game against the Celtics which will help to keep his ownership down. Cody Zeller is also listed as questionable with a knee injury. If he is unable to play, Marvin Williams and Frank Kaminsky will see a boost in minutes. Here is how the Hornets’ usage looks with Zeller and Kidd-Gilchrist off the floor this season:

hornets iq

Philadelphia (109.5):

The Sixers are playing on the second half of a back-to-back set on Friday night. As of 9:00p on Thursday, there aren’t any notable injuries to report other than Justin Anderson’s continued absence.

Golden State @Atlanta (GSW -13.0, 227.0 total)

Golden State (120.0 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Atlanta (107.0 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Toronto @ Washington (TOR -3.0, 216.0 total)

Toronto (109.5 total):

O.G. Anunoby left Wednesday’s game with an ankle injury and he should be considered questionable for Friday. After Anunoby got injured, Norman Powell was the first player off the bench to replace Powell and started the second half, but he only ended up playing 11 minutes. Even if Powell or C.J. Miles is starting, they will be extremely tough sells on a ten game slate.

Washington (106.5 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Dallas @ Chicago (DAL -1.0 212.0 total)

Dallas (106.5 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Chicago (105.5 total):

As has been the case over the past week or so, Robin Lopez and Justin Holiday will be healthy scratches for the Bulls. In terms of secondary players on this team, David Nwaba and Cristiano Felicio see the biggest boosts as starters, while Denzel Valentine has thrived off the bench. Here is a look at the Bulls’ usage breakdown over the past few weeks after these lineup changes were made:

bulls iq

Denver @ Memphis (n/a)

Denver (n/a):

Paul Millsap returned to the Nuggets’ lineup on Tuesday and put up 26.4 FD points in 23.5 minutes off the bench. His return cut the minutes of Trey Lyles and Darrell Arthur to basically nothing. As he continues to ramp up his workload, we can expect the roles of Wilson Chandler and Mason Plumlee to decrease.

Memphis (n/a):

The Grizzlies are dealing with a ton of injuries, so I’ll mention them all quickly. The following players are listed as day-to-day: Tyreke Evans (ribs), Chandler Parsons (illness), Wayne Selden (knee), Deyonta Davis (ankle). On top of that, Mario Chamlers is questionable with a wrist injury. We don’t really have a huge sample size to look at with these players off the floor, but Marc Gasol has a 24.3% usage rate and averages 1.11 FD points per minutes. Andrew Harrison has a 26.2% usage rate, which represents a 2.5% spike compared to his season average. Here is the usage breakdown from this very small sample:

grizzlies iq

Indiana @ Milwaukee (n/a)

Indiana (n/a):

No impactful injuries to monitor. Darren Collison remains out of the lineup but is getting closer to a return.

Milwaukee (n/a):

Tony Snell missed Wednesday night’s game with a thigh injury. In his absence, Sterling Brown started and played 26 minutes, but he was basically a non-factor in terms of DFS output. Brown would not be a fantasy option if he starts again.

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix (n/a)

Oklahoma City (n/a):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Phoenix (n/a):

Tyson Chandler has been out of the lineup with neck spasms and Alex Len should continue to benefit in his absence. Another key situation to monitor here is the status of T.J. Warren, who missed Wednesday night’s game with a tailbone injury. If he is unable to suit up, Josh Jackson would start again after having a massive game on Wednesday night, in which he put up 52.4 FanDuel points in 40 minutes. It also seems important to mention that Devin Booker has a 38.2% (!) usage rate with Warren and Chandler off the floor. In the event they both end up missing another game, this is what the Suns’ usage and scoring per minute has looked like over the past few weeks with these players off the floor:

suns iq

Minnesota @ Utah (UTA -6.5, 210.0 total)

Minnesota (101.8 total):

The Wolves are playing the second half of a back-to-back set tonight. Nemanja Bjelica has made a few starts in Butler’s absence and while he hasn’t made a major impact on offense, he is averaging 33.5 minutes per game. The biggest beneficiary of Butler’s absence thus far is actually Jeff Teague. In 83.3 minutes without Butler over the past week, Teague has a 29.9% usage rate which represents a 2.2% bump. Here is the full usage breakdown:

wolves iw

Utah (108.2 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

New York @ Los Angeles Clippers (LAC -9.5, 226.5 total)

New York (108.5 total):

No impactful injuries to monitor.

Los Angeles Clippers (118.0 total):

With Tyrone Wallace in the G-League, the Clippers started Milos Teodosic alongside Austin Rivers in the backcourt. C.J. Williams also started in place of Danilo Gallinari and played 21 minutes but did not produce much of a stat line. Gallinari should be considered questionable for tonight’s game. In 104 minutes without Gallinari on the floor last week, Lou Williams had a 27.4% usage rate and averaged 1.06 FD points per minute. With the Knicks in full-tank mode, the Clippers will be an attractive target for players looking for a late -night hammer.

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