MLB DFS

MLB DFS Early Slate GPP Takedown (FanDuel)

In this article, I plan on sharing my thoughts on approaches to taking down early (or express) slate GPPs. Not cashing them–taking them down.  This means the approaches I share will be risky, but if it works out, we’ll be gunning for 1st.

Today’s ‘Early Only’ slate on FanDuel brings us a tasty Coors Field game (ARI @ COL) along with an interesting matchup between the Cubs and Nationals.  The way I see it, there are two GPP takedown approaches to this slate, and they involve using either Joe Ross or Mike Montgomery at the pitcher position.  Cubs and Nationals are both tempting investments, so you’ll need to take a stand.  I’m currently leaning toward Mike Montgomery, but I understand either option.

One of the top prospects in baseball, Víctor Robles, has been quietly sitting on the Nationals’ roster since September 4th.  Of course, today Washington decided to ruin that exploitable silence for all of us by loudly placing him in the leadoff spot.  That being said, he is still one of the most intriguing values on this small slate, so I’ll be rostering him, even if I’m using Montgomery as my pitcher.

Aside from Robles, filling out the rest of a roster on this small slate is quite pleasant when rolling with one of the two aforementioned pitchers.

I plan on stacking up the Coors Field game along with Víctor Robles and Kris Bryant, who has a .468 xwOBA and a 91.7mph average exit velocity in 6 ABs vs. Joe Ross. It’s a small sample—I know, but inviting nonetheless. Regardless of pitching decision, these are my top Diamondbacks in order:

Steven Souza Jr.
A.J. Pollock
Paul Goldschmidt
Ketel Marte

And here are the Rockies:

David Dahl
Charlie Blackmon
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado

If you’re electing to roll (or crash) alongside me with Mike Montgomery, these would be my top Cubs to target against Joe Ross in order:

Daniel Murphy
Kris Bryant
Addison Russell
 Anthony Rizzo

On the contrary, if you decide to roster Joe Ross, here are my top Nationals to roster against Mike Montgomery:

Víctor Robles
Trea Turner
Adrian Sanchez
Anthony Rendon

From a takedown perspective, I suggest rostering one of the cheap pitchers, Víctor Robles, choosing from the above plays, and spending most of, if not all of your salary.  Yes, not playing Bryce Harper has the potential to send us flailing out the window, but he and his home run yesterday are an intriguing fade in GPPs, especially if shooting for 1st.

On slates like this, using low-in-the-lineup players like Adrian Sanchez and Ketel Marte can be pivotal in differentiating yourself from the field.

After research, I feel confident that this approach has the potential to be a strong contender in tournaments, and I plan on exploiting it.

Good luck this afternoon!

– Spectre

 

Twitter: @dfsspectre
FanDuel: themaelstrom

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