NFL DFS Strategy

Kwafo’s Quick Thoughts: NFL Week 6

Week Six is here and we are steamrolling to the halfway mark of the season. Here are a few quick thoughts as you set lineups for Week 6:

My Core:

  • Kirk Cousins. He seems to find his way into this article a lot, but he has a completion percentage over 70% and in the top five in yards from the position. Until the run game is settled Minnesota must air it out and “Captain Kirk” is more than capable of a big game this week.
  • Joe Mixon. Showed no ill effects of the knee procedure he underwent. He is a three-down back in what Vegas has pegged as a high scoring affair. A lock for me on both sites.
  • Adam Thielen. He is pricey, but the production has been there all year with over 100 yards in every matchup. A pair with him and Cousins is a good way to start your lineup build.

 

Sleepers:

  • Alex Smith. He looked awful against the Saints on Monday Night, but he is in a perfect spot at home against the Panthers to right the ship. He will be less than five percent owned in most gpps. I like that number.
  • Chris Carson. Seattle is going with a one two punch of Carson and Davis. They both have produced. I like the way the game script lays out for Seattle. Grab Carson to save salary.
  • Tyler Boyd. Cincinnati will look his way given the coverage of Joe Haden on AJ Green. Boyd is proven and at $6,300 on FanDuel he is a nice salary saver over his WR teammate.

Fantasy Fade:

 

  • Phillip Rivers. This Cleveland defense is for real and I don’t like the west to east travel for the Chargers. This is a classic let down spot for the Chargers. Keep Phil off your rosters.

 

  • Both Atlanta runners. Coleman and Freeman. Freeman and Coleman. I can’t tell who is going to be lead and I think Atlanta prefers to throw the ball these days. Don’t deal with the headache.
  • Keenan Allen. Along with Phil Rivers, I don’t like the passing offense for the Chargers on Sunday. $8100 on FanDuel is too much to pay for Allen’s projected production in this one. I like Stephon Diggs for $100 more.

Vegas Baby:

Here are some interesting Vegas line movements to watch for as we head to Sunday:

  • The Bears and Dolphins have seen their game total drop by two points. Something to consider when picking players from this game. Probably best to only have minor exposure here.
  • The Sunday night affair with KC and New England has seen that game total shoot up 2.5 points to a whopping 60! Load up both sides of this in the showdown slate.
  • The Steelers and Bengals have seen their game total drop 1.5 points. It should still be a high scoring matchup but be mindful for a full game stack from this one.

Here is wishing you much profit this week!  If you have questions, please reach out to me on twitter @Spartanzilla or in the Lineup Logic Slack Chat. Thanks for reading!

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